Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1181.640380 1341.732967 1519.650934 1732.769231 1982.063102 2265.581687 2614.044350
2025-08-31 939.979834 1151.581188 1408.991389 1748.258579 2188.221785 2745.779407 3515.950878
2025-09-07 815.930295 1050.930977 1354.576485 1781.822990 2377.446464 3193.522113 4423.104700
2025-09-14 700.007733 936.030787 1255.197155 1727.414679 2424.077557 3439.958813 5083.330060
2025-09-21 612.860624 845.209625 1171.512209 1675.154287 2455.037690 3655.599549 5724.169518
2025-09-28 541.114524 765.989512 1092.104737 1614.111438 2457.255784 3818.893927 6302.049904
2025-10-05 512.475143 745.242013 1094.243579 1674.631539 2655.044123 4322.261356 7558.107304
2025-10-12 480.185800 714.870609 1077.183511 1700.453945 2796.502644 4750.010671 8766.719923
2025-10-19 449.061115 682.749061 1053.147996 1710.256045 2909.343955 5142.114149 9990.976054
2025-10-26 421.452691 653.315423 1029.887137 1717.437982 3016.624177 5539.034041 11315.306671
2025-11-02 404.485616 639.451718 1030.648047 1766.308374 3207.627550 6131.516362 13217.065571
2025-11-09 387.672124 624.137028 1027.030848 1806.003875 3385.498214 6727.619075 15286.900263
2025-11-16 369.464483 605.371869 1016.417689 1832.992097 3545.781832 7325.693687 17564.667834
2025-11-23 350.983365 584.611468 1000.325884 1847.613788 3683.215021 7902.096103 19976.791672
2025-11-30 337.098976 570.764436 995.389961 1883.533442 3872.099552 8638.058217 23088.779152
2025-12-07 312.756157 535.895225 947.665791 1825.448244 3839.342604 8819.610753 24596.307256
2025-12-14 291.002556 504.213374 903.374585 1769.680427 3803.847100 8987.583876 26122.078868
2025-12-21 270.132395 472.746116 857.004480 1704.566377 3737.012353 9060.578840 27363.609921
2025-12-28 265.018047 470.859572 868.985452 1769.122688 3998.702579 10093.515955 32391.443973
2026-01-04 256.349048 461.412814 864.813090 1796.675617 4171.257003 10912.812939 36997.293377
2026-01-11 246.621683 449.169707 853.817399 1807.135910 4300.856924 11635.023219 41558.819181
2026-01-18 237.316608 437.112721 842.200574 1814.800548 4424.380644 12369.132944 46539.805134
2026-01-25 232.465713 433.707730 848.679371 1866.965503 4680.785747 13601.447389 54459.264928